Country Club (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.88

CCHHL Stock   21.15  0.36  1.67%   
Country Club's future price is the expected price of Country Club instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Country Club Hospitality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Country Club Backtesting, Country Club Valuation, Country Club Correlation, Country Club Hype Analysis, Country Club Volatility, Country Club History as well as Country Club Performance.
  
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Country Club Target Price Odds to finish below 10.88

The tendency of Country Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  10.88  or more in 90 days
 21.15 90 days 10.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Country Club to drop to  10.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Country Club Hospitality probability density function shows the probability of Country Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Country Club Hospitality price to stay between  10.88  and its current price of 21.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Country Club has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Country Club average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Country Club Hospitality will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Country Club Hospitality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Country Club Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Country Club

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Country Club Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0821.1524.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6519.7222.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5923.6626.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.1321.3424.54
Details

Country Club Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Country Club is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Country Club's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Country Club Hospitality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Country Club within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Country Club Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Country Club for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Country Club Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Country Club generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Country Club has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 523.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B.
Country Club Hospitality has accumulated about 29.66 M in cash with (51.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Country Club plans global foray through franchise route - The Hindu

Country Club Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Country Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Country Club's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Country Club's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding162 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.8 M

Country Club Technical Analysis

Country Club's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Country Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Country Club Hospitality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Country Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Country Club Predictive Forecast Models

Country Club's time-series forecasting models is one of many Country Club's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Country Club's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Country Club Hospitality

Checking the ongoing alerts about Country Club for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Country Club Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Country Club generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Country Club has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 523.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B.
Country Club Hospitality has accumulated about 29.66 M in cash with (51.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Country Club plans global foray through franchise route - The Hindu

Other Information on Investing in Country Stock

Country Club financial ratios help investors to determine whether Country Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Country with respect to the benefits of owning Country Club security.