Capital Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.62
| CBNK Stock | USD 28.39 0.21 0.73% |
Capital |
Capital Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 20.62
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.62 or more in 90 days |
| 28.39 | 90 days | 20.62 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Bancorp to drop to $ 20.62 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capital Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Bancorp price to stay between $ 20.62 and its current price of $28.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capital Bancorp has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2105, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Capital Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 20th of November 2024 Capital Bancorp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Capital Bancorp, Inc. Short Interest Up 8.6 percent in November |
Capital Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245.5 M |
Capital Bancorp Technical Analysis
Capital Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.