Maplebear Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.70

CART Stock  USD 38.90  0.03  0.08%   
Maplebear's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Maplebear. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Maplebear based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Maplebear over a specific time period. For example, CART250620C00040000 is a PUT option contract on Maplebear's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2025-06-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 90 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.2, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 22nd of March is 90.0. View All Maplebear options

Closest to current price Maplebear long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Maplebear's future price is the expected price of Maplebear instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maplebear performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maplebear Backtesting, Maplebear Valuation, Maplebear Correlation, Maplebear Hype Analysis, Maplebear Volatility, Maplebear History as well as Maplebear Performance.
For more information on how to buy Maplebear Stock please use our How to Invest in Maplebear guide.
  
At this time, Maplebear's Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Maplebear's target price for which you would like Maplebear odds to be computed.

Maplebear Target Price Odds to finish below 20.70

The tendency of Maplebear Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.70  or more in 90 days
 38.90 90 days 20.70 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maplebear to drop to $ 20.70  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Maplebear probability density function shows the probability of Maplebear Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maplebear price to stay between $ 20.70  and its current price of $38.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Maplebear has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maplebear are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maplebear is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maplebear has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Maplebear Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maplebear

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maplebear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.8438.9742.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.0142.7445.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.3444.4747.60
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5950.1055.61
Details

Maplebear Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maplebear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maplebear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maplebear, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maplebear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
4.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Maplebear Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maplebear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maplebear can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maplebear generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Maplebear has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Maplebear is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Maplebear has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Instacart Rolls Out Personalized Smart Shop Feature With AI Tech

Maplebear Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maplebear Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maplebear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maplebear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Maplebear Technical Analysis

Maplebear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maplebear Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maplebear. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maplebear Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maplebear Predictive Forecast Models

Maplebear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maplebear's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maplebear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maplebear

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maplebear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maplebear help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maplebear generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Maplebear has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Maplebear is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Maplebear has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Instacart Rolls Out Personalized Smart Shop Feature With AI Tech

Additional Tools for Maplebear Stock Analysis

When running Maplebear's price analysis, check to measure Maplebear's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maplebear is operating at the current time. Most of Maplebear's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maplebear's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maplebear's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maplebear to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.