Captivision Ordinary Shares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.43
| CAPT Stock | 0.72 0.07 8.86% |
Captivision |
Captivision Ordinary Target Price Odds to finish over 8.43
The tendency of Captivision Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 8.43 or more in 90 days |
| 0.72 | 90 days | 8.43 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Captivision Ordinary to move over 8.43 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Captivision Ordinary Shares probability density function shows the probability of Captivision Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Captivision Ordinary price to stay between its current price of 0.72 and 8.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 suggesting Captivision Ordinary Shares market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Captivision Ordinary is expected to follow. Additionally Captivision Ordinary Shares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Captivision Ordinary Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Captivision Ordinary
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Captivision Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Captivision Ordinary Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Captivision Ordinary is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Captivision Ordinary's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Captivision Ordinary Shares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Captivision Ordinary within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Captivision Ordinary Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Captivision Ordinary for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Captivision Ordinary can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Captivision Ordinary generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Captivision Ordinary has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Captivision Ordinary has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Captivision Ordinary has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Captivision Ordinary generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Captivision Ordinary has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Captivision Completes Major Project in Seoul with Lotte Group |
Captivision Ordinary Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Captivision Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Captivision Ordinary's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Captivision Ordinary's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 476.7 K |
Captivision Ordinary Technical Analysis
Captivision Ordinary's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Captivision Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Captivision Ordinary Shares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Captivision Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Captivision Ordinary Predictive Forecast Models
Captivision Ordinary's time-series forecasting models is one of many Captivision Ordinary's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Captivision Ordinary's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Captivision Ordinary
Checking the ongoing alerts about Captivision Ordinary for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Captivision Ordinary help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Captivision Ordinary generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Captivision Ordinary has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Captivision Ordinary has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Captivision Ordinary has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Captivision Ordinary generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Captivision Ordinary has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Captivision Completes Major Project in Seoul with Lotte Group |
Additional Tools for Captivision Stock Analysis
When running Captivision Ordinary's price analysis, check to measure Captivision Ordinary's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Captivision Ordinary is operating at the current time. Most of Captivision Ordinary's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Captivision Ordinary's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Captivision Ordinary's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Captivision Ordinary to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.