Crossamerica Partners Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.74
| CAPL Stock | USD 21.68 0.13 0.60% |
Crossamerica |
Crossamerica Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 18.74
The tendency of Crossamerica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.74 or more in 90 days |
| 21.68 | 90 days | 18.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crossamerica Partners to drop to $ 18.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crossamerica Partners LP probability density function shows the probability of Crossamerica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crossamerica Partners price to stay between $ 18.74 and its current price of $21.68 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Crossamerica Partners has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crossamerica Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crossamerica Partners LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crossamerica Partners LP has an alpha of 0.0831, implying that it can generate a 0.0831 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Crossamerica Partners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crossamerica Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crossamerica Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crossamerica Partners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crossamerica Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crossamerica Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crossamerica Partners LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crossamerica Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Crossamerica Partners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crossamerica Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crossamerica Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crossamerica Partners LP currently holds 910.47 M in liabilities. Crossamerica Partners has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crossamerica Partners' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Crossamerica Partners has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 13th of November 2024 Crossamerica Partners paid $ 0.525 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Keenan Lynch of 5934 shares of Crossamerica Partners subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Crossamerica Partners Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crossamerica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crossamerica Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crossamerica Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Crossamerica Partners Technical Analysis
Crossamerica Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crossamerica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crossamerica Partners LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crossamerica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crossamerica Partners Predictive Forecast Models
Crossamerica Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crossamerica Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crossamerica Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crossamerica Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crossamerica Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crossamerica Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crossamerica Partners LP currently holds 910.47 M in liabilities. Crossamerica Partners has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crossamerica Partners' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Crossamerica Partners has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 13th of November 2024 Crossamerica Partners paid $ 0.525 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Keenan Lynch of 5934 shares of Crossamerica Partners subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Crossamerica Partners Backtesting, Crossamerica Partners Valuation, Crossamerica Partners Correlation, Crossamerica Partners Hype Analysis, Crossamerica Partners Volatility, Crossamerica Partners History as well as Crossamerica Partners Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crossamerica Partners. If investors know Crossamerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crossamerica Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Dividend Share 2.1 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share 101.473 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Crossamerica Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crossamerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crossamerica Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crossamerica Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crossamerica Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crossamerica Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crossamerica Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crossamerica Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crossamerica Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.