Capacite Infraprojects (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 383.58
| CAPACITE | 438.10 17.10 3.76% |
Capacite |
Capacite Infraprojects Target Price Odds to finish below 383.58
The tendency of Capacite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 383.58 or more in 90 days |
| 438.10 | 90 days | 383.58 | about 40.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capacite Infraprojects to drop to 383.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.44 (This Capacite Infraprojects Limited probability density function shows the probability of Capacite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capacite Infraprojects price to stay between 383.58 and its current price of 438.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capacite Infraprojects has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capacite Infraprojects average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capacite Infraprojects Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capacite Infraprojects Limited has an alpha of 0.1856, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capacite Infraprojects Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Capacite Infraprojects
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capacite Infraprojects. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capacite Infraprojects' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Capacite Infraprojects Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capacite Infraprojects is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capacite Infraprojects' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capacite Infraprojects Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capacite Infraprojects within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Capacite Infraprojects Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capacite Infraprojects for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capacite Infraprojects can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capacite Infraprojects is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Capacite Infraprojects Limited has accumulated about 193.95 M in cash with (388.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capacite Infraprojects Smallcap Company Making Waves in Construction Industry with Impressive Stock Performance - MarketsMojo |
Capacite Infraprojects Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capacite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capacite Infraprojects' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capacite Infraprojects' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Capacite Infraprojects Technical Analysis
Capacite Infraprojects' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capacite Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capacite Infraprojects Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capacite Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capacite Infraprojects Predictive Forecast Models
Capacite Infraprojects' time-series forecasting models is one of many Capacite Infraprojects' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capacite Infraprojects' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capacite Infraprojects
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capacite Infraprojects for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capacite Infraprojects help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capacite Infraprojects is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Capacite Infraprojects Limited has accumulated about 193.95 M in cash with (388.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capacite Infraprojects Smallcap Company Making Waves in Construction Industry with Impressive Stock Performance - MarketsMojo |
Additional Tools for Capacite Stock Analysis
When running Capacite Infraprojects' price analysis, check to measure Capacite Infraprojects' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capacite Infraprojects is operating at the current time. Most of Capacite Infraprojects' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capacite Infraprojects' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capacite Infraprojects' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capacite Infraprojects to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.