Computer Age (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5211.15

CAMS Stock   5,042  77.75  1.57%   
Computer Age's future price is the expected price of Computer Age instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Computer Age Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Computer Age Backtesting, Computer Age Valuation, Computer Age Correlation, Computer Age Hype Analysis, Computer Age Volatility, Computer Age History as well as Computer Age Performance.
  
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Computer Age Target Price Odds to finish over 5211.15

The tendency of Computer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5,211  or more in 90 days
 5,042 90 days 5,211 
about 5.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Computer Age to move over  5,211  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.08 (This Computer Age Management probability density function shows the probability of Computer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Computer Age Management price to stay between its current price of  5,042  and  5,211  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Computer Age has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Computer Age average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Computer Age Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Computer Age Management has an alpha of 0.1773, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Computer Age Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Computer Age

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Computer Age Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,5385,0525,054
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,8644,8675,546
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
22.6323.7325.00
Details

Computer Age Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Computer Age is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Computer Age's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Computer Age Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Computer Age within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
309.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Computer Age Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Computer Age for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Computer Age Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Computer Age is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Computer Age Management Services Limiteds Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way - Simply Wall St

Computer Age Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Computer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Computer Age's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Computer Age's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.2 B

Computer Age Technical Analysis

Computer Age's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Computer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Computer Age Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Computer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Computer Age Predictive Forecast Models

Computer Age's time-series forecasting models is one of many Computer Age's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Computer Age's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Computer Age Management

Checking the ongoing alerts about Computer Age for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Computer Age Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Computer Age is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Computer Age Management Services Limiteds Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for Computer Stock Analysis

When running Computer Age's price analysis, check to measure Computer Age's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Computer Age is operating at the current time. Most of Computer Age's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Computer Age's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Computer Age's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Computer Age to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.