Big Yellow (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.59
| BYG Stock | EUR 27.90 0.15 0.53% |
Big |
Big Yellow Target Price Odds to finish over 32.59
The tendency of Big Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 32.59 or more in 90 days |
| 27.90 | 90 days | 32.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Big Yellow to move over € 32.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Big Yellow Group probability density function shows the probability of Big Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Big Yellow Group price to stay between its current price of € 27.90 and € 32.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Big Yellow Group has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Big Yellow are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Big Yellow Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Big Yellow Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Big Yellow Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Big Yellow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Big Yellow Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Big Yellow Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Big Yellow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Big Yellow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Big Yellow Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Big Yellow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Big Yellow Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Big Yellow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Big Yellow Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Big Yellow Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Big Yellow Group has accumulated €5.8 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Big Yellow Group has accumulated 5.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 79.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Big Yellow Group has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Big Yellow until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Big Yellow's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Big Yellow Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Big to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Big Yellow's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 46.0% of Big Yellow shares are held by company insiders |
Big Yellow Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Big Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Big Yellow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Big Yellow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 379.7 M |
Big Yellow Technical Analysis
Big Yellow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Big Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Big Yellow Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Big Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Big Yellow Predictive Forecast Models
Big Yellow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Big Yellow's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Big Yellow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Big Yellow Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Big Yellow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Big Yellow Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Big Yellow Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Big Yellow Group has accumulated €5.8 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Big Yellow Group has accumulated 5.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 79.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Big Yellow Group has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Big Yellow until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Big Yellow's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Big Yellow Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Big to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Big Yellow's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 46.0% of Big Yellow shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Big Stock
Big Yellow financial ratios help investors to determine whether Big Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Big with respect to the benefits of owning Big Yellow security.