Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.89
| BWSN Stock | USD 23.89 0.04 0.17% |
Babcock |
Babcock Wilcox Target Price Odds to finish below 23.89
The tendency of Babcock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 23.89 | 90 days | 23.89 | about 71.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Babcock Wilcox to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 71.02 (This Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, probability density function shows the probability of Babcock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, has a beta of -0.0355 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Babcock Wilcox are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, has an alpha of 0.166, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Babcock Wilcox Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Babcock Wilcox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock Wilcox Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Babcock Wilcox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Babcock Wilcox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Babcock Wilcox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Babcock Wilcox Enterprises,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Babcock Wilcox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Babcock Wilcox Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Babcock Wilcox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Babcock Wilcox Enter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Babcock Wilcox Enter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 999.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Babcock Wilcox generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Babcock Wilcox paid $ 0.5078 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.s 31 percent Price Drop - Simply Wall St |
Babcock Wilcox Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Babcock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Babcock Wilcox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock Wilcox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71 M |
Babcock Wilcox Technical Analysis
Babcock Wilcox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Babcock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Babcock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Babcock Wilcox Predictive Forecast Models
Babcock Wilcox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Babcock Wilcox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Babcock Wilcox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Babcock Wilcox Enter
Checking the ongoing alerts about Babcock Wilcox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Babcock Wilcox Enter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 999.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Babcock Wilcox generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Babcock Wilcox paid $ 0.5078 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.s 31 percent Price Drop - Simply Wall St |
Check out Babcock Wilcox Backtesting, Babcock Wilcox Valuation, Babcock Wilcox Correlation, Babcock Wilcox Hype Analysis, Babcock Wilcox Volatility, Babcock Wilcox History as well as Babcock Wilcox Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Babcock Wilcox. If investors know Babcock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Babcock Wilcox listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Babcock Wilcox Enter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Babcock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Babcock Wilcox's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Babcock Wilcox's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Babcock Wilcox's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Babcock Wilcox's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Babcock Wilcox's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Babcock Wilcox is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Babcock Wilcox's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.