Barbara Bui (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.54

BUI Stock  EUR 5.90  0.05  0.85%   
Barbara Bui's future price is the expected price of Barbara Bui instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Barbara Bui SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Barbara Bui Backtesting, Barbara Bui Valuation, Barbara Bui Correlation, Barbara Bui Hype Analysis, Barbara Bui Volatility, Barbara Bui History as well as Barbara Bui Performance.
  
Please specify Barbara Bui's target price for which you would like Barbara Bui odds to be computed.

Barbara Bui Target Price Odds to finish below 3.54

The tendency of Barbara Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 3.54  or more in 90 days
 5.90 90 days 3.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barbara Bui to drop to € 3.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Barbara Bui SA probability density function shows the probability of Barbara Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barbara Bui SA price to stay between € 3.54  and its current price of €5.9 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Barbara Bui has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Barbara Bui average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barbara Bui SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barbara Bui SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Barbara Bui Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Barbara Bui

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barbara Bui SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.215.908.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.716.409.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.265.958.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.905.905.90
Details

Barbara Bui Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barbara Bui is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barbara Bui's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barbara Bui SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barbara Bui within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Barbara Bui Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barbara Bui for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barbara Bui SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barbara Bui SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 9.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (448 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.47 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Barbara Bui Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barbara Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barbara Bui's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barbara Bui's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 M

Barbara Bui Technical Analysis

Barbara Bui's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barbara Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barbara Bui SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barbara Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Barbara Bui Predictive Forecast Models

Barbara Bui's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barbara Bui's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barbara Bui's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Barbara Bui SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Barbara Bui for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barbara Bui SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barbara Bui SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 9.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (448 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.47 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Barbara Stock

Barbara Bui financial ratios help investors to determine whether Barbara Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Barbara with respect to the benefits of owning Barbara Bui security.