Budi Starch (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 225.81
| BUDI Stock | IDR 226.00 2.00 0.88% |
Budi |
Budi Starch Target Price Odds to finish over 225.81
The tendency of Budi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 225.81 in 90 days |
| 226.00 | 90 days | 225.81 | about 62.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Budi Starch to stay above 225.81 in 90 days from now is about 62.89 (This Budi Starch Sweetener probability density function shows the probability of Budi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Budi Starch Sweetener price to stay between 225.81 and its current price of 226.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Budi Starch has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Budi Starch average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Budi Starch Sweetener will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Budi Starch Sweetener has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Budi Starch Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Budi Starch
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Budi Starch Sweetener. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Budi Starch Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Budi Starch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Budi Starch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Budi Starch Sweetener, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Budi Starch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Budi Starch Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Budi Starch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Budi Starch Sweetener can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Budi Starch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Budi Starch Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Budi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Budi Starch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Budi Starch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 63.4 B |
Budi Starch Technical Analysis
Budi Starch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Budi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Budi Starch Sweetener. In general, you should focus on analyzing Budi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Budi Starch Predictive Forecast Models
Budi Starch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Budi Starch's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Budi Starch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Budi Starch Sweetener
Checking the ongoing alerts about Budi Starch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Budi Starch Sweetener help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Budi Starch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Budi Stock
Budi Starch financial ratios help investors to determine whether Budi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Budi with respect to the benefits of owning Budi Starch security.