Blue Star Foods Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| BSFC Stock | USD 0.30 0.03 11.11% |
Blue |
Blue Star Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.30 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 1.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Star to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.42 (This Blue Star Foods probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blue Star Foods price to stay between $ 0.04 and its current price of $0.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blue Star has a beta of 0.67 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blue Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blue Star Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blue Star Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Blue Star Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blue Star
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Star Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Blue Star Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Star Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Blue Star Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Star for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Star Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blue Star Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blue Star Foods has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Blue Star Foods has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Blue Star Foods has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.47 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (651.99 K). | |
| Blue Star Foods currently holds about 2.59 M in cash with (3.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Blue Star Foods has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Blue Star Foods Files 8-K with the SEC Detailing Strategic Financial Initiatives |
Blue Star Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Star's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Star's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.7 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.2 K |
Blue Star Technical Analysis
Blue Star's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Star Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blue Star Predictive Forecast Models
Blue Star's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Star's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Star's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blue Star Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Star Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Blue Star Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blue Star Foods has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Blue Star Foods has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Blue Star Foods has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.47 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (651.99 K). | |
| Blue Star Foods currently holds about 2.59 M in cash with (3.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Blue Star Foods has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Blue Star Foods Files 8-K with the SEC Detailing Strategic Financial Initiatives |
Check out Blue Star Backtesting, Blue Star Valuation, Blue Star Correlation, Blue Star Hype Analysis, Blue Star Volatility, Blue Star History as well as Blue Star Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Star. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Star listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 30.16 | Revenue Per Share 12.84 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets (0.31) | Return On Equity (1.74) |
The market value of Blue Star Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Star's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Star's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Star's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Star's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.