Birlik Mensucat (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.09
| BRMEN Stock | TRY 5.22 0.17 3.37% |
Birlik |
Birlik Mensucat Target Price Odds to finish over 5.09
The tendency of Birlik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.09 in 90 days |
| 5.22 | 90 days | 5.09 | about 73.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Birlik Mensucat to stay above 5.09 in 90 days from now is about 73.46 (This Birlik Mensucat Ticaret probability density function shows the probability of Birlik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Birlik Mensucat Ticaret price to stay between 5.09 and its current price of 5.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Birlik Mensucat will likely underperform. Additionally Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Birlik Mensucat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Birlik Mensucat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birlik Mensucat Ticaret. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Birlik Mensucat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Birlik Mensucat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Birlik Mensucat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Birlik Mensucat Ticaret, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Birlik Mensucat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0032 |
Birlik Mensucat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Birlik Mensucat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Birlik Mensucat Ticaret can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Birlik Mensucat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birlik Mensucat has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Birlik Mensucat has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Birlik Mensucat has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has accumulated 48.83 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 161.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Birlik Mensucat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Birlik Mensucat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Birlik Mensucat Ticaret sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Birlik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Birlik Mensucat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.9 M. | |
| Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has accumulated about 27.01 K in cash with (36.97 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of Birlik Mensucat shares are held by company insiders |
Birlik Mensucat Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Birlik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Birlik Mensucat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Birlik Mensucat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.4 M |
Birlik Mensucat Technical Analysis
Birlik Mensucat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Birlik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Birlik Mensucat Ticaret. In general, you should focus on analyzing Birlik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Birlik Mensucat Predictive Forecast Models
Birlik Mensucat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Birlik Mensucat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Birlik Mensucat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Birlik Mensucat Ticaret
Checking the ongoing alerts about Birlik Mensucat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Birlik Mensucat Ticaret help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Birlik Mensucat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birlik Mensucat has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Birlik Mensucat has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Birlik Mensucat has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has accumulated 48.83 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 161.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Birlik Mensucat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Birlik Mensucat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Birlik Mensucat Ticaret sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Birlik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Birlik Mensucat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.9 M. | |
| Birlik Mensucat Ticaret has accumulated about 27.01 K in cash with (36.97 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of Birlik Mensucat shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Birlik Stock
Birlik Mensucat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birlik Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birlik with respect to the benefits of owning Birlik Mensucat security.