Burkhalter Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 90.71

BRKN Stock  CHF 91.30  1.40  1.56%   
Burkhalter Holding's future price is the expected price of Burkhalter Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Burkhalter Holding AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Burkhalter Holding Backtesting, Burkhalter Holding Valuation, Burkhalter Holding Correlation, Burkhalter Holding Hype Analysis, Burkhalter Holding Volatility, Burkhalter Holding History as well as Burkhalter Holding Performance.
  
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Burkhalter Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 90.71

The tendency of Burkhalter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above ₣ 90.71  in 90 days
 91.30 90 days 90.71 
about 34.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burkhalter Holding to stay above ₣ 90.71  in 90 days from now is about 34.64 (This Burkhalter Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Burkhalter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Burkhalter Holding price to stay between ₣ 90.71  and its current price of ₣91.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Burkhalter Holding has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Burkhalter Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Burkhalter Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Burkhalter Holding AG has an alpha of 0.0398, implying that it can generate a 0.0398 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Burkhalter Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Burkhalter Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burkhalter Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.4491.3092.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.0490.9091.76
Details

Burkhalter Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burkhalter Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burkhalter Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burkhalter Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burkhalter Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Burkhalter Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burkhalter Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burkhalter Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Burkhalter Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burkhalter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burkhalter Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burkhalter Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments41.5 M

Burkhalter Holding Technical Analysis

Burkhalter Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burkhalter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burkhalter Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burkhalter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Burkhalter Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Burkhalter Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Burkhalter Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burkhalter Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Burkhalter Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Burkhalter Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burkhalter Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Burkhalter Stock Analysis

When running Burkhalter Holding's price analysis, check to measure Burkhalter Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burkhalter Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Burkhalter Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burkhalter Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burkhalter Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burkhalter Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.