Britania PCL (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.07
| BRI Stock | 4.14 0.04 0.98% |
Britania |
Britania PCL Target Price Odds to finish over 4.07
The tendency of Britania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4.07 in 90 days |
| 4.14 | 90 days | 4.07 | over 95.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Britania PCL to stay above 4.07 in 90 days from now is over 95.13 (This Britania PCL probability density function shows the probability of Britania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Britania PCL price to stay between 4.07 and its current price of 4.14 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Britania PCL has a beta of -0.0141 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Britania PCL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Britania PCL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Britania PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Britania PCL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Britania PCL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Britania PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Britania PCL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Britania PCL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Britania PCL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Britania PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Britania PCL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Britania PCL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Britania PCL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Britania PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Britania PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Britania PCL Technical Analysis
Britania PCL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Britania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Britania PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Britania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Britania PCL Predictive Forecast Models
Britania PCL's time-series forecasting models is one of many Britania PCL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Britania PCL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Britania PCL
Checking the ongoing alerts about Britania PCL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Britania PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Britania PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |