Aggressive Investors 1 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 104.42

BRAGX Fund  USD 103.88  2.10  1.98%   
Aggressive Investors' future price is the expected price of Aggressive Investors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aggressive Investors 1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aggressive Investors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aggressive Investors Correlation, Aggressive Investors Hype Analysis, Aggressive Investors Volatility, Aggressive Investors History as well as Aggressive Investors Performance.
  
Please specify Aggressive Investors' target price for which you would like Aggressive Investors odds to be computed.

Aggressive Investors Target Price Odds to finish over 104.42

The tendency of Aggressive Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 104.42  or more in 90 days
 103.88 90 days 104.42 
about 8.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aggressive Investors to move over $ 104.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.25 (This Aggressive Investors 1 probability density function shows the probability of Aggressive Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aggressive Investors price to stay between its current price of $ 103.88  and $ 104.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aggressive Investors has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Aggressive Investors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aggressive Investors 1 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aggressive Investors 1 has an alpha of 0.2924, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aggressive Investors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aggressive Investors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aggressive Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.04103.88104.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.49111.31112.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.14102.99103.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.71103.32106.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aggressive Investors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aggressive Investors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aggressive Investors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aggressive Investors.

Aggressive Investors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aggressive Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aggressive Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aggressive Investors 1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aggressive Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
6.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Aggressive Investors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aggressive Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aggressive Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Aggressive Investors Technical Analysis

Aggressive Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aggressive Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aggressive Investors 1. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aggressive Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aggressive Investors Predictive Forecast Models

Aggressive Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aggressive Investors' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aggressive Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aggressive Investors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aggressive Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aggressive Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Aggressive Mutual Fund

Aggressive Investors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aggressive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aggressive with respect to the benefits of owning Aggressive Investors security.
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