Biophytis Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.74
| BPTSDelisted Stock | USD 7.03 0.00 0.00% |
Biophytis |
Biophytis Target Price Odds to finish over 9.74
The tendency of Biophytis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.74 or more in 90 days |
| 7.03 | 90 days | 9.74 | about 47.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biophytis to move over $ 9.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 47.99 (This Biophytis probability density function shows the probability of Biophytis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Biophytis price to stay between its current price of $ 7.03 and $ 9.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Biophytis has a beta of -0.0845 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Biophytis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Biophytis is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Biophytis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Biophytis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Biophytis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biophytis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biophytis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Biophytis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biophytis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biophytis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biophytis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biophytis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Biophytis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biophytis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biophytis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Biophytis is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Biophytis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Biophytishas 368,955 shares shorted by Biophytis investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Biophytis currently holds about 23.93 M in cash with (13.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.71. |
Biophytis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Biophytis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Biophytis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biophytis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 M |
Biophytis Technical Analysis
Biophytis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biophytis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biophytis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biophytis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Biophytis Predictive Forecast Models
Biophytis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Biophytis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biophytis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Biophytis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Biophytis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biophytis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Biophytis is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Biophytis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Biophytishas 368,955 shares shorted by Biophytis investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Biophytis currently holds about 23.93 M in cash with (13.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.71. |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Biophytis Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Biophytis check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Biophytis' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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