BPS TECHNOLOGY (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.55
| BPS Stock | 0.57 0.02 3.39% |
BPS |
BPS TECHNOLOGY Target Price Odds to finish below 0.55
The tendency of BPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.55 or more in 90 days |
| 0.57 | 90 days | 0.55 | about 14.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BPS TECHNOLOGY to drop to 0.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.38 (This BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC probability density function shows the probability of BPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC price to stay between 0.55 and its current price of 0.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BPS TECHNOLOGY has a beta of 0.69 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BPS TECHNOLOGY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BPS TECHNOLOGY Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BPS TECHNOLOGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BPS TECHNOLOGY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BPS TECHNOLOGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BPS TECHNOLOGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BPS TECHNOLOGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
BPS TECHNOLOGY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BPS TECHNOLOGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BPS TECHNOLOGY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BPS TECHNOLOGY has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BPS TECHNOLOGY has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
BPS TECHNOLOGY Technical Analysis
BPS TECHNOLOGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BPS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC. In general, you should focus on analyzing BPS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BPS TECHNOLOGY Predictive Forecast Models
BPS TECHNOLOGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many BPS TECHNOLOGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BPS TECHNOLOGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC
Checking the ongoing alerts about BPS TECHNOLOGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BPS TECHNOLOGY PUBLIC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BPS TECHNOLOGY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BPS TECHNOLOGY has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BPS TECHNOLOGY has high historical volatility and very poor performance |