Bouvet (Norway) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 60.65

BOUV Stock  NOK 71.70  0.40  0.55%   
Bouvet's future price is the expected price of Bouvet instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bouvet performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bouvet Backtesting, Bouvet Valuation, Bouvet Correlation, Bouvet Hype Analysis, Bouvet Volatility, Bouvet History as well as Bouvet Performance.
  
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Bouvet Target Price Odds to finish over 60.65

The tendency of Bouvet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  60.65  in 90 days
 71.70 90 days 60.65 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bouvet to stay above  60.65  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bouvet probability density function shows the probability of Bouvet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bouvet price to stay between  60.65  and its current price of 71.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bouvet has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bouvet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bouvet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bouvet has an alpha of 0.0619, implying that it can generate a 0.0619 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bouvet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bouvet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bouvet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.4271.7072.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.6270.9072.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.4770.7572.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.7071.6674.63
Details

Bouvet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bouvet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bouvet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bouvet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bouvet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Bouvet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bouvet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bouvet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bouvet Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bouvet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bouvet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bouvet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments475.5 M

Bouvet Technical Analysis

Bouvet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bouvet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bouvet. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bouvet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bouvet Predictive Forecast Models

Bouvet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bouvet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bouvet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bouvet

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bouvet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bouvet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bouvet Stock

Bouvet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bouvet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bouvet with respect to the benefits of owning Bouvet security.