Hugo Boss (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.62
| BOSS Stock | 41.82 0.20 0.48% |
Hugo |
Hugo Boss Target Price Odds to finish below 40.62
The tendency of Hugo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 40.62 or more in 90 days |
| 41.82 | 90 days | 40.62 | about 62.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hugo Boss to drop to 40.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.96 (This Hugo Boss AG probability density function shows the probability of Hugo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hugo Boss AG price to stay between 40.62 and its current price of 41.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hugo Boss has a beta of 0.0869 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Hugo Boss average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hugo Boss AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hugo Boss AG has an alpha of 0.2476, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hugo Boss Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hugo Boss
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hugo Boss AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hugo Boss Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hugo Boss is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hugo Boss' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hugo Boss AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hugo Boss within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Hugo Boss Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hugo Boss for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hugo Boss AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hugo Boss AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hugo Boss Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hugo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hugo Boss' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hugo Boss' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 312.2 M |
Hugo Boss Technical Analysis
Hugo Boss' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hugo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hugo Boss AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hugo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hugo Boss Predictive Forecast Models
Hugo Boss' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hugo Boss' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hugo Boss' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hugo Boss AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hugo Boss for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hugo Boss AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hugo Boss AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hugo Stock
Hugo Boss financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hugo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hugo with respect to the benefits of owning Hugo Boss security.