Boston Trust Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.46

BOSOX Fund  USD 20.46  0.05  0.24%   
Boston Trust's future price is the expected price of Boston Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boston Trust Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Boston Trust Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Boston Trust Correlation, Boston Trust Hype Analysis, Boston Trust Volatility, Boston Trust History as well as Boston Trust Performance.
  
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Boston Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 19.46

The tendency of Boston Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 19.46  or more in 90 days
 20.46 90 days 19.46 
about 50.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boston Trust to drop to $ 19.46  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.65 (This Boston Trust Small probability density function shows the probability of Boston Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boston Trust Small price to stay between $ 19.46  and its current price of $20.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Boston Trust has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Boston Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Boston Trust Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Boston Trust Small has an alpha of 0.1686, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Boston Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boston Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Trust Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3020.4221.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6420.7621.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9920.1021.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4819.9321.38
Details

Boston Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boston Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boston Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boston Trust Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boston Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Boston Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boston Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boston Trust Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Boston Trust Technical Analysis

Boston Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boston Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boston Trust Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boston Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boston Trust Predictive Forecast Models

Boston Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boston Trust's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boston Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boston Trust Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boston Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boston Trust Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Boston Mutual Fund

Boston Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boston Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boston with respect to the benefits of owning Boston Trust security.
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