Bonus Biogroup (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.85

BONS Stock  ILS 10.80  0.10  0.92%   
Bonus Biogroup's future price is the expected price of Bonus Biogroup instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bonus Biogroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bonus Biogroup Backtesting, Bonus Biogroup Valuation, Bonus Biogroup Correlation, Bonus Biogroup Hype Analysis, Bonus Biogroup Volatility, Bonus Biogroup History as well as Bonus Biogroup Performance.
  
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Bonus Biogroup Target Price Odds to finish over 10.85

The tendency of Bonus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 10.85  or more in 90 days
 10.80 90 days 10.85 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bonus Biogroup to move over S 10.85  or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Bonus Biogroup probability density function shows the probability of Bonus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bonus Biogroup price to stay between its current price of S 10.80  and S 10.85  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bonus Biogroup has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bonus Biogroup are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bonus Biogroup is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bonus Biogroup has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bonus Biogroup Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bonus Biogroup

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bonus Biogroup. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.7810.8012.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.729.7411.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8610.8812.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3811.3712.35
Details

Bonus Biogroup Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bonus Biogroup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bonus Biogroup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bonus Biogroup, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bonus Biogroup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Bonus Biogroup Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bonus Biogroup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bonus Biogroup can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bonus Biogroup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bonus Biogroup has accumulated 6.28 M in total debt. Bonus Biogroup has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bonus Biogroup until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bonus Biogroup's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bonus Biogroup sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bonus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bonus Biogroup's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (90.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Bonus Biogroup has accumulated about 3.6 M in cash with (39.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bonus Biogroup Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bonus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bonus Biogroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bonus Biogroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Bonus Biogroup Technical Analysis

Bonus Biogroup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bonus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bonus Biogroup. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bonus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bonus Biogroup Predictive Forecast Models

Bonus Biogroup's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bonus Biogroup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bonus Biogroup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bonus Biogroup

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bonus Biogroup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bonus Biogroup help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bonus Biogroup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bonus Biogroup has accumulated 6.28 M in total debt. Bonus Biogroup has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bonus Biogroup until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bonus Biogroup's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bonus Biogroup sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bonus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bonus Biogroup's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (90.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Bonus Biogroup has accumulated about 3.6 M in cash with (39.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bonus Stock

Bonus Biogroup financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bonus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bonus with respect to the benefits of owning Bonus Biogroup security.