BONAS IMPORT (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.08
| BONA Stock | 0.84 0.06 6.67% |
BONAS |
BONAS IMPORT Target Price Odds to finish over 13.08
The tendency of BONAS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 13.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.84 | 90 days | 13.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BONAS IMPORT to move over 13.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BONAS IMPORT EXPORT probability density function shows the probability of BONAS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BONAS IMPORT EXPORT price to stay between its current price of 0.84 and 13.08 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BONAS IMPORT has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BONAS IMPORT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BONAS IMPORT EXPORT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BONAS IMPORT EXPORT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BONAS IMPORT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BONAS IMPORT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BONAS IMPORT EXPORT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BONAS IMPORT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BONAS IMPORT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BONAS IMPORT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BONAS IMPORT EXPORT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BONAS IMPORT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
BONAS IMPORT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BONAS IMPORT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BONAS IMPORT EXPORT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BONAS IMPORT EXPORT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BONAS IMPORT EXPORT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BONAS IMPORT EXPORT has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
BONAS IMPORT Technical Analysis
BONAS IMPORT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BONAS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BONAS IMPORT EXPORT. In general, you should focus on analyzing BONAS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BONAS IMPORT Predictive Forecast Models
BONAS IMPORT's time-series forecasting models is one of many BONAS IMPORT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BONAS IMPORT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BONAS IMPORT EXPORT
Checking the ongoing alerts about BONAS IMPORT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BONAS IMPORT EXPORT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BONAS IMPORT EXPORT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BONAS IMPORT EXPORT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BONAS IMPORT EXPORT has high historical volatility and very poor performance |