BCAP Mid (Thailand) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 9.35
| BMSCG Etf | 8.50 0.07 0.82% |
BCAP |
BCAP Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 9.35
The tendency of BCAP Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 9.35 or more in 90 days |
| 8.50 | 90 days | 9.35 | about 59.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCAP Mid to move over 9.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.45 (This BCAP Mid Small probability density function shows the probability of BCAP Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BCAP Mid Small price to stay between its current price of 8.50 and 9.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BCAP Mid has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BCAP Mid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BCAP Mid Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BCAP Mid Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BCAP Mid Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BCAP Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCAP Mid Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCAP Mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCAP Mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCAP Mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BCAP Mid Small.BCAP Mid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCAP Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCAP Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCAP Mid Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCAP Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
BCAP Mid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCAP Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCAP Mid Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BCAP Mid Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BCAP Mid Technical Analysis
BCAP Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCAP Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCAP Mid Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCAP Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BCAP Mid Predictive Forecast Models
BCAP Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCAP Mid's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCAP Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BCAP Mid Small
Checking the ongoing alerts about BCAP Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCAP Mid Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BCAP Mid Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |