Bundamedik Tbk (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 294.80
| BMHS Stock | 268.00 2.00 0.74% |
Bundamedik |
Bundamedik Tbk Target Price Odds to finish over 294.80
The tendency of Bundamedik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 294.80 or more in 90 days |
| 268.00 | 90 days | 294.80 | about 12.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bundamedik Tbk to move over 294.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.41 (This Bundamedik Tbk PT probability density function shows the probability of Bundamedik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bundamedik Tbk PT price to stay between its current price of 268.00 and 294.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bundamedik Tbk PT has a beta of -0.095 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bundamedik Tbk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bundamedik Tbk PT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bundamedik Tbk PT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bundamedik Tbk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bundamedik Tbk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bundamedik Tbk PT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bundamedik Tbk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bundamedik Tbk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bundamedik Tbk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bundamedik Tbk PT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bundamedik Tbk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Bundamedik Tbk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bundamedik Tbk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bundamedik Tbk PT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bundamedik Tbk PT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bundamedik Tbk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bundamedik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bundamedik Tbk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bundamedik Tbk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 809.5 B |
Bundamedik Tbk Technical Analysis
Bundamedik Tbk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bundamedik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bundamedik Tbk PT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bundamedik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bundamedik Tbk Predictive Forecast Models
Bundamedik Tbk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bundamedik Tbk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bundamedik Tbk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bundamedik Tbk PT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bundamedik Tbk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bundamedik Tbk PT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bundamedik Tbk PT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bundamedik Stock
Bundamedik Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bundamedik Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bundamedik with respect to the benefits of owning Bundamedik Tbk security.