British Land (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.33
| BLD Stock | 4.19 0.04 0.95% |
British |
British Land Target Price Odds to finish below 4.33
The tendency of British Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4.33 after 90 days |
| 4.19 | 90 days | 4.33 | about 64.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of British Land to stay under 4.33 after 90 days from now is about 64.63 (This British Land Co probability density function shows the probability of British Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of British Land price to stay between its current price of 4.19 and 4.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon British Land has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, British Land average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding British Land Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally British Land Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. British Land Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for British Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as British Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of British Land's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
British Land Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. British Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the British Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold British Land Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of British Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
British Land Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of British Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for British Land can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| British Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
British Land Technical Analysis
British Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. British Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of British Land Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing British Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
British Land Predictive Forecast Models
British Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many British Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary British Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about British Land
Checking the ongoing alerts about British Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for British Land help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| British Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for British Stock Analysis
When running British Land's price analysis, check to measure British Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy British Land is operating at the current time. Most of British Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of British Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move British Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of British Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.