Brickworks (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.91
| BKW Stock | 25.80 0.13 0.51% |
Brickworks |
Brickworks Target Price Odds to finish below 23.91
The tendency of Brickworks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.91 or more in 90 days |
| 25.80 | 90 days | 23.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brickworks to drop to 23.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brickworks probability density function shows the probability of Brickworks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brickworks price to stay between 23.91 and its current price of 25.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brickworks has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brickworks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brickworks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brickworks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brickworks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brickworks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brickworks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brickworks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brickworks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brickworks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brickworks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brickworks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Brickworks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brickworks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brickworks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brickworks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brickworks has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 365.36 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Brickworks Ltd Issues Unquoted Performance Rights - TipRanks |
Brickworks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brickworks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brickworks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brickworks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.6 M |
Brickworks Technical Analysis
Brickworks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brickworks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brickworks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brickworks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brickworks Predictive Forecast Models
Brickworks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Brickworks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brickworks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brickworks
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brickworks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brickworks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brickworks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brickworks has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 365.36 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Brickworks Ltd Issues Unquoted Performance Rights - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Brickworks Stock Analysis
When running Brickworks' price analysis, check to measure Brickworks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brickworks is operating at the current time. Most of Brickworks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brickworks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brickworks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brickworks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.