Brinker International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.92
| BKJ Stock | EUR 127.00 5.00 4.10% |
Brinker |
Brinker International Target Price Odds to finish below 41.92
The tendency of Brinker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 41.92 or more in 90 days |
| 127.00 | 90 days | 41.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brinker International to drop to € 41.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brinker International probability density function shows the probability of Brinker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brinker International price to stay between € 41.92 and its current price of €127.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brinker International has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brinker International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brinker International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brinker International has an alpha of 0.936, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brinker International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brinker International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brinker International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brinker International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brinker International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brinker International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brinker International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brinker International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.31 |
Brinker International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brinker International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brinker International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brinker International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Brinker International has accumulated 989.1 M in total debt. Brinker International has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brinker International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brinker International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brinker International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brinker to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brinker International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Brinker International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brinker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brinker International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brinker International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M |
Brinker International Technical Analysis
Brinker International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brinker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brinker International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brinker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brinker International Predictive Forecast Models
Brinker International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brinker International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brinker International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brinker International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brinker International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brinker International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brinker International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Brinker International has accumulated 989.1 M in total debt. Brinker International has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Brinker International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brinker International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brinker International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brinker to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brinker International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Brinker Stock
When determining whether Brinker International is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Brinker Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Brinker International Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Brinker International Stock:Check out Brinker International Backtesting, Brinker International Valuation, Brinker International Correlation, Brinker International Hype Analysis, Brinker International Volatility, Brinker International History as well as Brinker International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Brinker Stock please use our How to Invest in Brinker International guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.