DATANG INTL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.17

BJI Stock   0.16  0.01  5.88%   
DATANG INTL's future price is the expected price of DATANG INTL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DATANG INTL POW performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DATANG INTL Backtesting, DATANG INTL Valuation, DATANG INTL Correlation, DATANG INTL Hype Analysis, DATANG INTL Volatility, DATANG INTL History as well as DATANG INTL Performance.
  
Please specify DATANG INTL's target price for which you would like DATANG INTL odds to be computed.

DATANG INTL Target Price Odds to finish below 0.17

The tendency of DATANG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.17  after 90 days
 0.16 90 days 0.17 
about 49.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DATANG INTL to stay under  0.17  after 90 days from now is about 49.81 (This DATANG INTL POW probability density function shows the probability of DATANG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DATANG INTL POW price to stay between its current price of  0.16  and  0.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 suggesting DATANG INTL POW market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, DATANG INTL is expected to follow. Additionally DATANG INTL POW has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   DATANG INTL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DATANG INTL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DATANG INTL POW. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DATANG INTL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.163.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.143.75
Details

DATANG INTL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DATANG INTL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DATANG INTL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DATANG INTL POW, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DATANG INTL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

DATANG INTL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DATANG INTL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DATANG INTL POW can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DATANG INTL POW generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
DATANG INTL POW has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
DATANG INTL POW has high historical volatility and very poor performance
DATANG INTL POW has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 103.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

DATANG INTL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DATANG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DATANG INTL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DATANG INTL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 B
Short Long Term Debt39.3 B

DATANG INTL Technical Analysis

DATANG INTL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DATANG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DATANG INTL POW. In general, you should focus on analyzing DATANG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DATANG INTL Predictive Forecast Models

DATANG INTL's time-series forecasting models is one of many DATANG INTL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DATANG INTL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DATANG INTL POW

Checking the ongoing alerts about DATANG INTL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DATANG INTL POW help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DATANG INTL POW generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
DATANG INTL POW has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
DATANG INTL POW has high historical volatility and very poor performance
DATANG INTL POW has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 103.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Tools for DATANG Stock Analysis

When running DATANG INTL's price analysis, check to measure DATANG INTL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DATANG INTL is operating at the current time. Most of DATANG INTL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DATANG INTL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DATANG INTL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DATANG INTL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.