Income Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 36.8

BIGRX Fund  USD 38.39  0.28  0.72%   
Income Growth's future price is the expected price of Income Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Income Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Income Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Income Growth Correlation, Income Growth Hype Analysis, Income Growth Volatility, Income Growth History as well as Income Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Income Growth's target price for which you would like Income Growth odds to be computed.

Income Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 36.8

The tendency of Income Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 36.80  in 90 days
 38.39 90 days 36.80 
about 87.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Income Growth to stay above $ 36.80  in 90 days from now is about 87.18 (This Income Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Income Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Income Growth price to stay between $ 36.80  and its current price of $38.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Income Growth has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Income Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Income Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Income Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.072, implying that it can generate a 0.072 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Income Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Income Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Income Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7238.3939.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.6538.3238.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.2137.8738.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.8938.2939.69
Details

Income Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Income Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Income Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Income Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Income Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Income Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Income Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Income Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.75% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Income Growth Technical Analysis

Income Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Income Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Income Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Income Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Income Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Income Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Income Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Income Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Income Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Income Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Income Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.75% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Income Mutual Fund

Income Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Income Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Income with respect to the benefits of owning Income Growth security.
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