The Eafe Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.07

BGEKX Fund  USD 13.63  0.46  3.26%   
Eafe Fund's future price is the expected price of Eafe Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Eafe Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eafe Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eafe Fund Correlation, Eafe Fund Hype Analysis, Eafe Fund Volatility, Eafe Fund History as well as Eafe Fund Performance.
  
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Eafe Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 12.07

The tendency of Eafe Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.07  or more in 90 days
 13.63 90 days 12.07 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eafe Fund to drop to $ 12.07  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Eafe Fund probability density function shows the probability of Eafe Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eafe Fund price to stay between $ 12.07  and its current price of $13.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Eafe Fund has a beta of -0.0324 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eafe Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Eafe Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Eafe Fund has an alpha of 0.0614, implying that it can generate a 0.0614 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eafe Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eafe Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eafe Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0814.1015.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0713.0914.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0714.0915.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7813.9514.11
Details

Eafe Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eafe Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eafe Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Eafe Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eafe Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Eafe Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eafe Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eafe Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -6.0%
Eafe Fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Eafe Fund Technical Analysis

Eafe Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eafe Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Eafe Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eafe Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eafe Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Eafe Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eafe Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eafe Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eafe Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eafe Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eafe Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -6.0%
Eafe Fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Eafe Mutual Fund

Eafe Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eafe Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eafe with respect to the benefits of owning Eafe Fund security.
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