BF Utilities (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 918.94
| BFUTILITIE | 977.45 35.30 3.49% |
BFUTILITIE |
BF Utilities Target Price Odds to finish below 918.94
The tendency of BFUTILITIE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 918.94 or more in 90 days |
| 977.45 | 90 days | 918.94 | about 25.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BF Utilities to drop to 918.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.58 (This BF Utilities Limited probability density function shows the probability of BFUTILITIE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BF Utilities Limited price to stay between 918.94 and its current price of 977.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BF Utilities has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BF Utilities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BF Utilities Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BF Utilities Limited has an alpha of 0.0753, implying that it can generate a 0.0753 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BF Utilities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BF Utilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BF Utilities Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BF Utilities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BF Utilities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BF Utilities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BF Utilities Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BF Utilities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 60.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
BF Utilities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BF Utilities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BF Utilities Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BF Utilities Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| BF Utilities Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BF Utilities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BFUTILITIE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BF Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BF Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
BF Utilities Technical Analysis
BF Utilities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BFUTILITIE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BF Utilities Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BFUTILITIE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BF Utilities Predictive Forecast Models
BF Utilities' time-series forecasting models is one of many BF Utilities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BF Utilities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BF Utilities Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about BF Utilities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BF Utilities Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BF Utilities Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| BF Utilities Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BFUTILITIE Stock
BF Utilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether BFUTILITIE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BFUTILITIE with respect to the benefits of owning BF Utilities security.