BF Investment (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 576.36
| BFINVEST | 730.90 36.10 5.20% |
BFINVEST |
BF Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 576.36
The tendency of BFINVEST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 576.36 in 90 days |
| 730.90 | 90 days | 576.36 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BF Investment to stay above 576.36 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BF Investment Limited probability density function shows the probability of BFINVEST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BF Investment Limited price to stay between 576.36 and its current price of 730.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BF Investment has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BF Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BF Investment Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BF Investment Limited has an alpha of 0.3541, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BF Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BF Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BF Investment Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BF Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BF Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BF Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BF Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BF Investment Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BF Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 45.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
BF Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BF Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BF Investment Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BF Investment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BF Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BFINVEST Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BF Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BF Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 B |
BF Investment Technical Analysis
BF Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BFINVEST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BF Investment Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BFINVEST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BF Investment Predictive Forecast Models
BF Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many BF Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BF Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BF Investment Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about BF Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BF Investment Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BF Investment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for BFINVEST Stock Analysis
When running BF Investment's price analysis, check to measure BF Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BF Investment is operating at the current time. Most of BF Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BF Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BF Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BF Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.