Bezeq Israeli (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 408.49

BEZQ Stock  ILS 541.30  6.30  1.18%   
Bezeq Israeli's future price is the expected price of Bezeq Israeli instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bezeq Israeli Backtesting, Bezeq Israeli Valuation, Bezeq Israeli Correlation, Bezeq Israeli Hype Analysis, Bezeq Israeli Volatility, Bezeq Israeli History as well as Bezeq Israeli Performance.
  
Please specify Bezeq Israeli's target price for which you would like Bezeq Israeli odds to be computed.

Bezeq Israeli Target Price Odds to finish below 408.49

The tendency of Bezeq Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 408.49  or more in 90 days
 541.30 90 days 408.49 
about 18.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bezeq Israeli to drop to S 408.49  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.13 (This Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication probability density function shows the probability of Bezeq Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bezeq Israeli Teleco price to stay between S 408.49  and its current price of S541.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication has a beta of -0.0862 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bezeq Israeli are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication has an alpha of 0.4118, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bezeq Israeli Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bezeq Israeli

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bezeq Israeli Teleco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
539.63541.30542.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
423.37425.04595.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
534.58536.25537.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
470.07512.20554.33
Details

Bezeq Israeli Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bezeq Israeli is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bezeq Israeli's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bezeq Israeli within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
48.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Bezeq Israeli Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bezeq Israeli for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bezeq Israeli Teleco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bezeq Israeli Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bezeq Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bezeq Israeli's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bezeq Israeli's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B

Bezeq Israeli Technical Analysis

Bezeq Israeli's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bezeq Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bezeq Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bezeq Israeli Predictive Forecast Models

Bezeq Israeli's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bezeq Israeli's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bezeq Israeli's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bezeq Israeli Teleco

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bezeq Israeli for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bezeq Israeli Teleco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bezeq Stock

Bezeq Israeli financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bezeq Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bezeq with respect to the benefits of owning Bezeq Israeli security.