Business Development Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.51
| BDVC Stock | USD 11.51 1.50 14.99% |
Business |
Business Development Target Price Odds to finish over 16.51
The tendency of Business Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 16.51 or more in 90 days |
| 11.51 | 90 days | 16.51 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Business Development to move over $ 16.51 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Business Development Corp probability density function shows the probability of Business Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Business Development Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 11.51 and $ 16.51 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Business Development has a beta of 0.0654 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Business Development average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Business Development Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Business Development Corp has an alpha of 0.2977, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Business Development Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Business Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Business Development Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Business Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Business Development Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Business Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Business Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Business Development Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Business Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Business Development Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Business Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Business Development Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Business Development generates negative cash flow from operations |
Business Development Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Business Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Business Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Business Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 700.2 M |
Business Development Technical Analysis
Business Development's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Business Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Business Development Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Business Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Business Development Predictive Forecast Models
Business Development's time-series forecasting models is one of many Business Development's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Business Development's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Business Development Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Business Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Business Development Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Business Development generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Business Pink Sheet
Business Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Business Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Business with respect to the benefits of owning Business Development security.