Ubs Ag London Etf Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 19.39
BDCZ Etf | USD 19.31 0.08 0.41% |
UBS |
UBS AG Target Price Odds to finish below 19.39
The tendency of UBS Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 19.39 after 90 days |
19.31 | 90 days | 19.39 | about 91.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS AG to stay under $ 19.39 after 90 days from now is about 91.48 (This UBS AG London probability density function shows the probability of UBS Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UBS AG London price to stay between its current price of $ 19.31 and $ 19.39 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days UBS AG has a beta of 0.0938 suggesting as returns on the market go up, UBS AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UBS AG London will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBS AG London has an alpha of 0.0616, implying that it can generate a 0.0616 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). UBS AG Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for UBS AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBS AG London. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UBS AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
UBS AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UBS AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UBS AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UBS AG London, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UBS AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
UBS AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UBS AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UBS AG London can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
UBS AG Technical Analysis
UBS AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UBS Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UBS AG London. In general, you should focus on analyzing UBS Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UBS AG Predictive Forecast Models
UBS AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many UBS AG's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UBS AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UBS AG London
Checking the ongoing alerts about UBS AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UBS AG London help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in UBS Etf
UBS AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether UBS Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UBS with respect to the benefits of owning UBS AG security.