Bear Creek Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.38
| BCM Stock | CAD 0.20 0.01 4.76% |
Bear |
Bear Creek Target Price Odds to finish below 0.38
The tendency of Bear Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 0.38 after 90 days |
| 0.20 | 90 days | 0.38 | about 71.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bear Creek to stay under C$ 0.38 after 90 days from now is about 71.84 (This Bear Creek Mining probability density function shows the probability of Bear Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bear Creek Mining price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.20 and C$ 0.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bear Creek has a beta of 0.82 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bear Creek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bear Creek Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bear Creek Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bear Creek Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bear Creek
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bear Creek Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bear Creek Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bear Creek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bear Creek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bear Creek Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bear Creek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bear Creek Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bear Creek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bear Creek Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bear Creek Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bear Creek Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bear Creek Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Bear Creek Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 89.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.73 M. | |
| Bear Creek Mining has accumulated about 33.4 M in cash with (1.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bear Creek Mining Secures C14.5 Million Through Private Placement - TipRanks |
Bear Creek Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bear Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bear Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bear Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 M |
Bear Creek Technical Analysis
Bear Creek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bear Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bear Creek Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bear Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bear Creek Predictive Forecast Models
Bear Creek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bear Creek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bear Creek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bear Creek Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bear Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bear Creek Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bear Creek Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bear Creek Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bear Creek Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Bear Creek Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 89.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.73 M. | |
| Bear Creek Mining has accumulated about 33.4 M in cash with (1.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bear Creek Mining Secures C14.5 Million Through Private Placement - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Bear Stock Analysis
When running Bear Creek's price analysis, check to measure Bear Creek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bear Creek is operating at the current time. Most of Bear Creek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bear Creek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bear Creek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bear Creek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.