The Brown Capital Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.7
| BCISX Fund | USD 17.69 0.12 0.67% |
Brown |
Brown Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 15.7
The tendency of Brown Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 15.70 in 90 days |
| 17.69 | 90 days | 15.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brown Capital to stay above $ 15.70 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This The Brown Capital probability density function shows the probability of Brown Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brown Capital price to stay between $ 15.70 and its current price of $17.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brown Capital has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brown Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Brown Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Brown Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brown Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brown Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brown Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brown Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brown Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brown Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brown Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Brown Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brown Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Brown Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brown Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brown Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brown Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ETY Stock Hits 52-Week High at 15.3 Amid Strong Performance - Investing.com Nigeria | |
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Brown Capital holds 96.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Brown Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brown Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brown Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brown Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Brown Capital Technical Analysis
Brown Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brown Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Brown Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brown Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brown Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Brown Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brown Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brown Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brown Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brown Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brown Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brown Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ETY Stock Hits 52-Week High at 15.3 Amid Strong Performance - Investing.com Nigeria | |
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Brown Capital holds 96.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Brown Mutual Fund
Brown Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brown Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brown with respect to the benefits of owning Brown Capital security.
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format |