Bridge Builder Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.0

BBMUX Fund  USD 10.00  0.01  0.1%   
Bridge Builder's future price is the expected price of Bridge Builder instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bridge Builder Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bridge Builder Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bridge Builder Correlation, Bridge Builder Hype Analysis, Bridge Builder Volatility, Bridge Builder History as well as Bridge Builder Performance.
  
Please specify Bridge Builder's target price for which you would like Bridge Builder odds to be computed.

Bridge Builder Target Price Odds to finish below 10.0

The tendency of Bridge Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 10.00 90 days 10.00 
about 83.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bridge Builder to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 83.24 (This Bridge Builder Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Bridge Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bridge Builder Municipal has a beta of -0.0652 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bridge Builder are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bridge Builder Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bridge Builder Municipal has an alpha of 0.0022, implying that it can generate a 0.002184 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bridge Builder Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bridge Builder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bridge Builder Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridge Builder's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8110.0010.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.549.7311.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.799.9810.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.929.9910.05
Details

Bridge Builder Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bridge Builder is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bridge Builder's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bridge Builder Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bridge Builder within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.65

Bridge Builder Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bridge Builder for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bridge Builder Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Bridge Builder Technical Analysis

Bridge Builder's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bridge Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bridge Builder Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bridge Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bridge Builder Predictive Forecast Models

Bridge Builder's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bridge Builder's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bridge Builder's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bridge Builder Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bridge Builder for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bridge Builder Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 6.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Bridge Mutual Fund

Bridge Builder financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bridge Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bridge with respect to the benefits of owning Bridge Builder security.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals