Innovator Equity Buffer Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 41.39
| BAUG Etf | USD 44.23 0.01 0.02% |
Innovator |
Innovator Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 41.39
The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 41.39 or more in 90 days |
| 44.23 | 90 days | 41.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator Equity to drop to $ 41.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Innovator Equity Buffer probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innovator Equity Buffer price to stay between $ 41.39 and its current price of $44.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Equity has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Innovator Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator Equity Buffer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator Equity Buffer has an alpha of 0.0305, implying that it can generate a 0.0305 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Innovator Equity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Innovator Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator Equity Buffer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovator Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Innovator Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator Equity Buffer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Innovator Equity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovator Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovator Equity Buffer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 209.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Innovator Equity Technical Analysis
Innovator Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innovator Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innovator Equity Buffer. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innovator Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Innovator Equity Predictive Forecast Models
Innovator Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Innovator Equity's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innovator Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Innovator Equity Buffer
Checking the ongoing alerts about Innovator Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innovator Equity Buffer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 209.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Innovator Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Innovator Equity Correlation, Innovator Equity Hype Analysis, Innovator Equity Volatility, Innovator Equity History as well as Innovator Equity Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
The market value of Innovator Equity Buffer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innovator that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innovator Equity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innovator Equity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innovator Equity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innovator Equity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innovator Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innovator Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innovator Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.