Axiata Group Berhad Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.58
| AXXTFDelisted Stock | USD 0.53 0.00 0.00% |
Axiata |
Axiata Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.58
The tendency of Axiata Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.58 or more in 90 days |
| 0.53 | 90 days | 0.58 | about 1.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axiata Group to move over $ 0.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.55 (This Axiata Group Berhad probability density function shows the probability of Axiata Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axiata Group Berhad price to stay between its current price of $ 0.53 and $ 0.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Axiata Group has a beta of 0.0373. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Axiata Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Axiata Group Berhad will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Axiata Group Berhad has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Axiata Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axiata Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axiata Group Berhad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axiata Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Axiata Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axiata Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axiata Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axiata Group Berhad, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axiata Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Axiata Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axiata Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axiata Group Berhad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axiata Group Berhad is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Axiata Group Berhad has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Axiata Group Berhad has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Axiata Group Berhad has accumulated 14.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.48, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Axiata Group Berhad has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axiata Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axiata Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axiata Group Berhad sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axiata to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axiata Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 36.0% of Axiata Group shares are held by company insiders |
Axiata Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axiata Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axiata Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axiata Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.2 B |
Axiata Group Technical Analysis
Axiata Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axiata Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axiata Group Berhad. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axiata Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axiata Group Predictive Forecast Models
Axiata Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axiata Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axiata Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axiata Group Berhad
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axiata Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axiata Group Berhad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axiata Group Berhad is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Axiata Group Berhad has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Axiata Group Berhad has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Axiata Group Berhad has accumulated 14.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.48, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Axiata Group Berhad has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axiata Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axiata Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axiata Group Berhad sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axiata to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axiata Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 36.0% of Axiata Group shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Other Consideration for investing in Axiata Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Axiata Group Berhad check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Axiata Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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