Aware Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.54
| AWRE Stock | USD 1.52 0.02 1.30% |
Aware |
Aware Target Price Odds to finish below 1.54
The tendency of Aware Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.54 after 90 days |
| 1.52 | 90 days | 1.54 | about 15.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aware to stay under $ 1.54 after 90 days from now is about 15.79 (This Aware Inc probability density function shows the probability of Aware Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aware Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 1.52 and $ 1.54 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.57 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aware will likely underperform. Additionally Aware Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aware Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aware
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aware Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aware Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aware is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aware's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aware Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aware within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Aware Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aware for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aware Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aware Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aware Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Aware Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.75 M. | |
| Aware Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hartford Schroders Tax-Aware Bond ETF Shares Purchased by Arete Wealth Advisors LLC |
Aware Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aware Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.9 M |
Aware Technical Analysis
Aware's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aware Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aware Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aware Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aware Predictive Forecast Models
Aware's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aware's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aware's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aware Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aware for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aware Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aware Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aware Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Aware Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.75 M. | |
| Aware Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hartford Schroders Tax-Aware Bond ETF Shares Purchased by Arete Wealth Advisors LLC |
Check out Aware Backtesting, Aware Valuation, Aware Correlation, Aware Hype Analysis, Aware Volatility, Aware History as well as Aware Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aware. If investors know Aware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aware listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Earnings Share (0.35) | Revenue Per Share 0.804 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.08) |
The market value of Aware Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aware that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aware's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aware's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aware's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aware's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aware's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aware is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.