Avantis International Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.19
| AVDVX Fund | USD 12.64 0.09 0.72% |
Avantis |
Avantis International Target Price Odds to finish below 12.19
The tendency of Avantis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.19 or more in 90 days |
| 12.64 | 90 days | 12.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avantis International to drop to $ 12.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Avantis International Small probability density function shows the probability of Avantis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avantis International price to stay between $ 12.19 and its current price of $12.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Avantis International has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avantis International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avantis International Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avantis International Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Avantis International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avantis International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avantis International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avantis International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avantis International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avantis International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avantis International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avantis International Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avantis International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Avantis International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avantis International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avantis International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avantis International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 98.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Avantis International Technical Analysis
Avantis International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avantis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avantis International Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avantis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avantis International Predictive Forecast Models
Avantis International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Avantis International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avantis International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avantis International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avantis International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avantis International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avantis International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 98.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Avantis Mutual Fund
Avantis International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avantis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avantis with respect to the benefits of owning Avantis International security.
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