Auctus Alternative (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.55
| AVC Stock | 0.57 0.02 3.64% |
Auctus |
Auctus Alternative Target Price Odds to finish below 0.55
The tendency of Auctus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.55 or more in 90 days |
| 0.57 | 90 days | 0.55 | about 76.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auctus Alternative to drop to 0.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.38 (This Auctus Alternative Investments probability density function shows the probability of Auctus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Auctus Alternative price to stay between 0.55 and its current price of 0.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Auctus Alternative Investments has a beta of -0.68. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Auctus Alternative are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Auctus Alternative Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Auctus Alternative Investments has an alpha of 0.1831, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auctus Alternative Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Auctus Alternative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auctus Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Auctus Alternative Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auctus Alternative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auctus Alternative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auctus Alternative Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auctus Alternative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Auctus Alternative Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auctus Alternative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auctus Alternative can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Auctus Alternative has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Auctus Alternative had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Oil Gas Co. Shares Production Update - Streetwise Reports |
Auctus Alternative Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auctus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auctus Alternative's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auctus Alternative's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Auctus Alternative Technical Analysis
Auctus Alternative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auctus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auctus Alternative Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auctus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auctus Alternative Predictive Forecast Models
Auctus Alternative's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auctus Alternative's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auctus Alternative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Auctus Alternative
Checking the ongoing alerts about Auctus Alternative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auctus Alternative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Auctus Alternative has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Auctus Alternative had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Oil Gas Co. Shares Production Update - Streetwise Reports |
Additional Tools for Auctus Stock Analysis
When running Auctus Alternative's price analysis, check to measure Auctus Alternative's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Auctus Alternative is operating at the current time. Most of Auctus Alternative's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Auctus Alternative's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Auctus Alternative's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Auctus Alternative to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.