AVALON TECHNOLOGIES (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 992.5

AVALON Stock   992.50  3.05  0.31%   
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's future price is the expected price of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Backtesting, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Valuation, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Correlation, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Hype Analysis, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Volatility, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES History as well as AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Performance.
  
Please specify AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's target price for which you would like AVALON TECHNOLOGIES odds to be computed.

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Target Price Odds to finish over 992.5

The tendency of AVALON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 992.50 90 days 992.50 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD probability density function shows the probability of AVALON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AVALON TECHNOLOGIES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD has an alpha of 0.8797, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AVALON TECHNOLOGIES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
893.251,0421,046
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
889.19893.571,092
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.962.122.30
Details

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AVALON TECHNOLOGIES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.88
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
150.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Avalon Technologies Stock Rises 6.23 percent Amid Market Volatility, Nears 52-Week High - MarketsMojo

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AVALON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.8 M
Dividends Paid-41.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B
Shares Float24.8 M

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Technical Analysis

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AVALON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing AVALON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Predictive Forecast Models

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's time-series forecasting models is one of many AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about AVALON TECHNOLOGIES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Avalon Technologies Stock Rises 6.23 percent Amid Market Volatility, Nears 52-Week High - MarketsMojo

Other Information on Investing in AVALON Stock

AVALON TECHNOLOGIES financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVALON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVALON with respect to the benefits of owning AVALON TECHNOLOGIES security.