AVALON TECHNOLOGIES (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 894.94
| AVALON Stock | 992.50 3.05 0.31% |
AVALON |
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Target Price Odds to finish over 894.94
The tendency of AVALON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 894.94 in 90 days |
| 992.50 | 90 days | 894.94 | about 12.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES to stay above 894.94 in 90 days from now is about 12.31 (This AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD probability density function shows the probability of AVALON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD price to stay between 894.94 and its current price of 992.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AVALON TECHNOLOGIES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD has an alpha of 0.8797, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AVALON TECHNOLOGIES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AVALON TECHNOLOGIES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 150.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AVALON TECHNOLOGIES appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AVALON TECHNOLOGIES is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Avalon Technologies Stock Rises 6.23 percent Amid Market Volatility, Nears 52-Week High - MarketsMojo |
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AVALON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -41.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B | |
| Shares Float | 24.8 M |
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Technical Analysis
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AVALON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing AVALON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES Predictive Forecast Models
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's time-series forecasting models is one of many AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AVALON TECHNOLOGIES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD
Checking the ongoing alerts about AVALON TECHNOLOGIES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AVALON TECHNOLOGIES appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AVALON TECHNOLOGIES is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Avalon Technologies Stock Rises 6.23 percent Amid Market Volatility, Nears 52-Week High - MarketsMojo |
Other Information on Investing in AVALON Stock
AVALON TECHNOLOGIES financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVALON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVALON with respect to the benefits of owning AVALON TECHNOLOGIES security.