AT S (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.02
| AUS Stock | EUR 10.95 0.14 1.30% |
AUS |
AT S Target Price Odds to finish below 20.02
The tendency of AUS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 20.02 after 90 days |
| 10.95 | 90 days | 20.02 | about 84.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AT S to stay under € 20.02 after 90 days from now is about 84.22 (This AT S Austria probability density function shows the probability of AUS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AT S Austria price to stay between its current price of € 10.95 and € 20.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AT S has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AT S average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AT S Austria will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AT S Austria has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AT S Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AT S
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AT S Austria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AT S Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AT S is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AT S's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AT S Austria, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AT S within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
AT S Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AT S for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AT S Austria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AT S Austria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AT S Austria has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AT S Austria has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AT S Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AUS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AT S's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AT S's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.9 M |
AT S Technical Analysis
AT S's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AUS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AT S Austria. In general, you should focus on analyzing AUS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AT S Predictive Forecast Models
AT S's time-series forecasting models is one of many AT S's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AT S's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AT S Austria
Checking the ongoing alerts about AT S for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AT S Austria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AT S Austria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AT S Austria has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AT S Austria has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AUS Stock
AT S financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUS with respect to the benefits of owning AT S security.