Atn International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.55
| ATNI Stock | USD 16.63 0.09 0.54% |
ATN |
ATN International Target Price Odds to finish below 20.55
The tendency of ATN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 20.55 after 90 days |
| 16.63 | 90 days | 20.55 | about 27.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATN International to stay under $ 20.55 after 90 days from now is about 27.75 (This ATN International probability density function shows the probability of ATN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATN International price to stay between its current price of $ 16.63 and $ 20.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ATN International has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ATN International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ATN International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATN International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ATN International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ATN International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATN International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATN International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATN International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATN International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATN International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATN International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
ATN International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATN International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATN International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATN International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATN International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 762.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 397.09 M. | |
| ATN International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: ATN International, Inc. Short Interest Up 5.9 percent in November |
ATN International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATN International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATN International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.5 M |
ATN International Technical Analysis
ATN International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATN International. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATN International Predictive Forecast Models
ATN International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATN International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATN International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATN International
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATN International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATN International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATN International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATN International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 762.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 397.09 M. | |
| ATN International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: ATN International, Inc. Short Interest Up 5.9 percent in November |
Check out ATN International Backtesting, ATN International Valuation, ATN International Correlation, ATN International Hype Analysis, ATN International Volatility, ATN International History as well as ATN International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in ATN Stock please use our How to Invest in ATN International guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATN International. If investors know ATN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ATN International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share (2.69) | Revenue Per Share 48.867 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of ATN International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ATN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ATN International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ATN International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ATN International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ATN International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ATN International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATN International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATN International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.