Atif Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| ATIF Stock | USD 0.70 0.04 5.41% |
ATIF |
ATIF Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of ATIF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.70 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATIF Holdings to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ATIF Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ATIF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATIF Holdings price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This suggests ATIF Holdings market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ATIF Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally ATIF Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ATIF Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ATIF Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATIF Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATIF Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATIF Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATIF Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATIF Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATIF Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
ATIF Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATIF Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATIF Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATIF Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATIF Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ATIF Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 620 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 M. | |
| ATIF Holdings currently holds about 6.16 M in cash with (120.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ATIF Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATIF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATIF Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATIF Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
ATIF Holdings Technical Analysis
ATIF Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATIF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATIF Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATIF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATIF Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
ATIF Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ATIF Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATIF Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATIF Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATIF Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATIF Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATIF Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATIF Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ATIF Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 620 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 M. | |
| ATIF Holdings currently holds about 6.16 M in cash with (120.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out ATIF Holdings Backtesting, ATIF Holdings Valuation, ATIF Holdings Correlation, ATIF Holdings Hype Analysis, ATIF Holdings Volatility, ATIF Holdings History as well as ATIF Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in ATIF Stock please use our How to Invest in ATIF Holdings guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATIF Holdings. If investors know ATIF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ATIF Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ATIF Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ATIF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ATIF Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ATIF Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ATIF Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ATIF Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ATIF Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATIF Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATIF Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.