ATEME SA (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.48

ATEME Stock  EUR 5.66  0.02  0.35%   
ATEME SA's future price is the expected price of ATEME SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ATEME SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ATEME SA Backtesting, ATEME SA Valuation, ATEME SA Correlation, ATEME SA Hype Analysis, ATEME SA Volatility, ATEME SA History as well as ATEME SA Performance.
  
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ATEME SA Target Price Odds to finish over 5.48

The tendency of ATEME Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 5.48  in 90 days
 5.66 90 days 5.48 
about 9.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATEME SA to stay above € 5.48  in 90 days from now is about 9.74 (This ATEME SA probability density function shows the probability of ATEME Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATEME SA price to stay between € 5.48  and its current price of €5.66 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATEME SA has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ATEME SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ATEME SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATEME SA has an alpha of 0.7539, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ATEME SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ATEME SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATEME SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ATEME SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.895.669.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.255.028.79
Details

ATEME SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATEME SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATEME SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATEME SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATEME SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

ATEME SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATEME SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATEME SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATEME SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ATEME SA has accumulated about 6.25 M in cash with (552 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.6.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ATEME SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATEME Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATEME SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATEME SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.4 M

ATEME SA Technical Analysis

ATEME SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATEME Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATEME SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATEME Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ATEME SA Predictive Forecast Models

ATEME SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATEME SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATEME SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ATEME SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about ATEME SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATEME SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATEME SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ATEME SA has accumulated about 6.25 M in cash with (552 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.6.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for ATEME Stock Analysis

When running ATEME SA's price analysis, check to measure ATEME SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ATEME SA is operating at the current time. Most of ATEME SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ATEME SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ATEME SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ATEME SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.